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Multi-objective chance-constrained blending optimization of zinc smelter under stochastic uncertainty

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  • Considering the uncertainty of zinc concentrates and the shortage of high-quality ore inventory, a multi-objective chance-constrained programming (MOCCP) is established for blending optimization. Firstly, the distribution characteristics of zinc concentrates are obtained by statistical methods and the normal distribution is truncated according to the actual industrial situation. Secondly, by minimizing the pessimistic value and maximizing the optimistic value of object function, a MOCCP is decomposed into a MiniMin and MaxiMax chance-constrained programming, which is easy to handle. Thirdly, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is presented to obtain the Pareto front. Then, the furnace condition of roasting process is established based on analytic hierarchy process, and a satisfactory solution is selected from Pareto solution according to expert rules. Finally, taking the production data as an example, the effectiveness and feasibility of this method are verified. Compared to traditional blending optimization, recommended model both can ensure that each component meets the needs of production probability, and adjust the confident level of each component. Compared with the distribution without truncation, the optimization results of this method are more in line with the actual situation.

    Mathematics Subject Classification: 60A99, 49M37.

    Citation:

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  • Figure 1.  Blending process

    Figure 2.  Semi-underground warehouse

    Figure 3.  Block diagram of multi-objective chance-constrained blending optimization

    Figure 4.  Statistical diagram and distribution fitting diagram of each component($ a $: Truncated normal distribution for high-purity ore; $ b $: Lognormal distribution for high-purity ore; $ c $: Lognormal distribution for High-quality ore)

    Figure 5.  Optimization idea

    Figure 6.  Multi-objective hybrid intelligent optimization algorithm

    Figure 7.  Roasting process

    Figure 8.  Calciner temperature and feed rate (the upper is the calcination temperature and the lower is the feed amount of the thrower)

    Figure 9.  Evaluation mechanism of working condition

    Figure 10.  Pareto front at different probability levels

    Figure 11.  Pareto front at different probability levels

    Figure 12.  Distribution of blending results under different distributions

    Table 1.  Classification methods

    #5 High-silicon ore #4 High-lead ore #3 Low-purity ore #2 High-purity ore #1 High-quality ore
    Zn% < 44 44 < Zn < 47 >47
    Pb% >1.8 < 1.8 < 1.8 < 1.8
    SiO2% >3 < 3 < 3 < 3
     | Show Table
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    Table 2.  Common composition range of zinc concentrates

    Zn(%) Fe(%) SiO2(%) Pb(%) Sb(%) Ge(%) Co(%)
    Min 41.46 2.93 1.25 6.71 0.013 0.0027 0.00125
    Max 55.37 17.2 7.65 0.72 1.21 0.0025 0.006
    Requirement 47> < 12 < 3 < 1.8 < 0.1 < 0.006 < 0.004
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 3.  Test valve of zinc concentrate from one supplier

    Date Suppliers Material Zn% Pb% SiO2%
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 49.32 1.79 2.47
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 49.50 1.64 2.69
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 49.33 1.78 2.51
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 49.51 1.71 2.69
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 49.27 1.30 3.64
    2020/9/7 Company of A Zinc concentrates 44.59 1.35 3.71
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 4.  Model parameters description

    Model Parameters explanatory notes
    i i = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5;
    $ {{P_i}} $ price per ton of zinc concentrate i;
    $ \overline {{T_y}} $ Maximum allowable of y,
    $ y=\{SiO2,Pb,Fe,S,Ni,Co,Sb,Ge\}$
    $ m $ amount of blending (t);
    $ \bar m $ allowance of mixed zinc concentrates;
    $ \underline m $ minimum demand for mixed zinc concentrates;
    $ {{\rm{X}}_{\max i}} $ allowance of raw material i, and
    $ {{\rm{X}}_{\min i}} $ minimum demand for raw material i.
    Random variables
    $ {\tilde W_i} $ zinc content percentage of raw material i;
    $ {{{\tilde T}_{yi}}} $ y content percentage of raw material i.
    Decision variables
    $ {{X_i}} $ amount of zinc concentrates i.
     | Show Table
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    Table 5.  Eq. (12a) acquisition process

    Algorithm 1.
    Step 1: Use the uniform distribution to create decision variable $ x $;
    Step 2: Use the Monte Carlo method to produce $ L $ = 1000 independent random matrices $ {\xi ^{\rm{1}}},{\xi ^{\rm{1}}}, \cdots ,{\xi ^L} $ based on the distribution, and get the sequence $ \left\{ {{J_1},{J_2}, \cdots ,{J_L}} \right\} $;
    Step 3: Take $ L' $ as the integer part of $ {\partial _1}L $;
    Step 4: Select the $ L' $th element $ {J_{L'}} $ as an estimate of $ {U_a} = \underline J $ in the sequence $ \left\{ {{J_1},{J_2}, \cdots ,{J_L}} \right\} $ based on the law of large numbers.
     | Show Table
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    Table 6.  Eq. (12c) acquisition process

    Algorithm 2.
    Step 1: Use the uniform distribution to create decision variable $ x $;
    Step 2: Use the Monte Carlo method to generate $ L $ = 1000 independent random matrices $ {\xi ^{\rm{1}}},{\xi ^{\rm{1}}}, \cdots ,{\xi ^L} $ according to the distribution, and obtain the sequence $ \left\{ {{g_1},{g_2},{g_3}, \cdots {g_L}} \right\} $ by Eq. (13);
    Step 3: Get number $ L' $ that satisfies the inequality $ {g_i} \ge \underline W ,i = 1,2, \cdots ,L $ in sequence $ \left\{ {{g_1},{g_2},{g_3}, \cdots {g_L}} \right\} $;
    Step 4: Estimate the probability $ {U_{Zn}} $ based on the frequency $ L'/L $ according to Kolmogorov's law of strong numbers.
     | Show Table
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    Table 7.  The qualitative assessment method

    Criterion Excellent Good Generally Bad Worst
    SZR $ x1 $/% $ x1 $$> $96 96$> $$ x1 $$> $94 94$> $$ x1 $$> $92 92$> $$ x1 $$> $90 90$> $$ x1 $
    RN $ x2 $ 0.5% $> $$ x2 $ 1%$> $$ x2 $$> $0.5% 2%$> $$ x2 $$> $1% 4%$> $x2$> $2% $ x2 $$> $4%
    Zn% $ x3 $ 50$> $$ x3 $$> $48 48$> $$ x3 $$> $47 $ x3 $$> $50 47$> $$ x3 $$> $46 46$> $$ x3 $
    Pb% $ x4 $ 1$> $$ x4 $ 1.5$> $$ x4 $$> $1 1.8$> $$ x4 $$> $1.5 2.0$> $$ x4 $$> $1.8 $ x4 $$> $2.0
    SiO2% $ x5 $ 1.5$> $$ x5 $ 2.0$> $$ x5 $$> $1.5 3.0$> $$ x5 $$> $2.0 3.5$> $$ x5 $$> $3.0 $ x5 $$> $3.5
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 8.  Scale of importance

    Number Explanation
    1 Equally important
    3 Slightly important
    5 Strongly important
    7 Very strongly important
    9 Absolutely important
    2, 4, 6, 8 Intermediate value
     | Show Table
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    Table 9.  The score of the criteria and the five levels

    Target Criterion Importance of index Excellent Good General Poor Worst
    Total score u SZR $ x1 $ 9 9 7 5 3 1
    RN $ x2 $ 7 9 7 6 4 2
    Zn% $ x3 $ 4 9 8 6 3 1
    Pb% $ x4 $ 5 9 7 6 2 1
    SiO2% $ x5 $ 3 9 8 5 2 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 10.  Pairwise comparison matrix of criterion levels

    SZR $ x1 $ RN $ x2 $ Zn% $ x3 $ Pb% $ x4 $ SiO2% $ x5 $
    SZR $ x1 $ 1 9/7 9/4 9/5 3
    RN $ x2 $ 7/9 1 7/4 7/5 7/3
    Zn% $ x3 $ 4/9 4/7 1 4/5 4/3
    Pb% $ x4 $ 5/9 5/7 5/4 1 5/3
    SiO2% $ x5 $ 1/3 3/7 3/4 3/5 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 11.  Values of the random consistency index

    n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
    RI 0 0 0.58 0.9 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.46 1.49 1.52
     | Show Table
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    Table 12.  Weight of each index

    Target Criterion Weights Excellent Good General Poor Worst
    Total score u SZR $ x1 $ 0.3103 0.36 0.28 0.2 0.12 0.04
    RN $ x2 $ 0.2414 0.3214 0.25 0.2143 0.1429 0.0714
    Zn% $ x3 $ 0.1379 0.3333 0.2963 0.2222 0.1111 0.037
    Pb% $ x4 $ 0.1724 0.36 0.28 0.24 0.08 0.04
    SiO2% $ x5 $ 0.1034 0.36 0.32 0.2 0.08 0.04
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 13.  Expert rules

    Operation of the system Range of $ u $ Proportion
    Excellent u$> $0.9 0.5
    Good 0.9$> $u$> $0.8 0.6
    General 0.8$> $u$> $0.7 0.8
    Poor 0.7$> $u 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 14.  Main component parameters of Zinc concentrates

    Ore bin Zn (%) Pb (%) SiO2 (%) AP RMB/t
    $ u $ $ \sigma $ $ a $ $ b $ Dis $ u $ $ \sigma $ $ a $ $ b $ Dis $ u $ $ \sigma $ Dis
    #1 1.01* 0.594 LN 1.021 0.38 0 1.8 N 0.21 0.35 LN 14701
    #2 0.122$ \Box $ 0.351 LN 1.24 0.3 0 1.8 N 0.19 0.38 LN 13236
    #3 0.103$ \triangle $ 0.201 LN 1.133 0.41 0 1.8 N 0.185 0.42 LN 12157
    #4 46.12 1.9 40 52 N 0* 0.4 LN 0.22 0.4 LN 13368
    #5 45.31 1.62 40 52 N 1.17 0.31 0 1.8 N 0.1* 0.55 LN 13128
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 15.  Mean value of each component

    Ore bin Zn (%) Pb (%) SiO2 (%) AP RMB/t
    E E E
    #1 50.275 1.006 1.302 14701
    #2 45.8 1.218 1.305 13236
    #3 42.87 1.09 1.314 12157
    #4 46.12 2.93 1.32 13368
    #5 45.31 1.154 4.259 13128
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 16.  Limitation requirements

    Zn% SiO2% Pb% $ x1 $ $ x2 $ $ x3 $ $ x4 $ $ x5 $ $ m $
    Min 47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 280
    Max 55 3 1.8 20 970 840 350 300 300
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 17.  Different probability levels

    Pb 0.6 0.8 0.8
    SiO2 0.6 0.8 0.95
    Colour Blue Red Green
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
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